Currently, more and more people are wondering: what awaits Ukraine in the future? This country now lives a very eventful life : Euromaidan, protests, rallies of civilians, reshuffles in power ... When and how will the unrest in the state end? How will relations between two kindred peoples, Russian and Ukrainian, develop in the future? What is the leadership of Ukraine ready to do to normalize the situation in the country? Let's try to make a forecast of the political and economic development of the state.
Ukraine: a chronicle of events
How did it all start? On November 28-29, 2013, the Eastern Partnership Summit was to be held in Vilnius on the signing of an association agreement between the EU and Ukraine. But a few days before, the government announced the suspension of preparations for this significant event for the state. On November 21, the first protest rally was held in the center of Kiev, the main purpose of which was to support European integration. The Eastern Partnership Summit did take place. But the agreement on the association of Ukraine and the European Union was not signed on it. A new wave of protests began.
Among the protesters there has been a split into "moderate" and radicals. On December 1, on Maidan, the latter captured the House of Trade Unions and the building of the Kiev Rada. Now, people spoke out not only in favor of signing an agreement on Ukraine’s accession to the EU, but also demanded the resignation of the current government led by President Viktor Yanukovych. But there were those who were against the rapprochement of the state with the countries of the European Union. In close cooperation with Russia, they saw the future of Ukraine. No one dared to make a forecast of its further development. Meanwhile, protests and clashes between radicals and militias on city streets continued. As a result, the Verkhovna Rada removed Viktor Yanukovych from power at the end of February, amended the Constitution of the country and appointed speaker Alexander Turchinov to the post of interim president. This caused an ambiguous assessment in world politics. As you know, Moscow opposes such actions by the Ukrainian government, calling them illegitimate. The US and the EU support today's leaders in Kiev. How will events develop further? Citizens of the state differently see the future of Ukraine.
What awaits the country after the elections of May 25?
Viktor Yanukovych forcibly removed from power. Moreover, he had to leave his homeland in order to save his life. Arseniy Yatsenyuk, one of the main opposition leaders on the Maidan, became the head of the government. On May 25, presidential elections will be held in Ukraine. The main contenders for the post of head of state have been outlined. This is the former Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko and the oligarch Petro Poroshenko. Let's try to find out how the upcoming elections will affect the future of Ukraine. After the Maidan, the intensity of passions in the country only increased. Western political scientists are confident that the presidential election and subsequent transformations in Ukraine will lead to a normalization of the situation and stabilization of the economy, which is collapsing at this time. A very high confidence rating from compatriots among presidential candidate Petro Poroshenko. Many political scientists believe that he will win the election. According to some political scientists, he will begin his work by renewing the question of the return of Crimea to Ukraine. This will invariably negatively affect relations between Russia and the “independent”. Moreover, it will help bring the latter closer to the EU. At least, the first thing he is ready to do when he becomes president is to establish a visa-free regime with the countries of the European Union.
Yulia Tymoshenko has less chance of winning the election, as many are convinced that the
south-east of the country is opposed to her stay in this post. This is how politicians speak about the future of Ukraine if it becomes the head of state: “A strong presidential power will be formed in the country. All state structures will be subordinate to her. Tymoshenko’s policy will be oriented toward the West. As for Russia, Madame President will build “warm” and trusting relations with her in order to get the most out of them. In particular, this applies to gas prices. Thus, this woman will successfully maneuver between the EU and Russia. ”
The economic situation in Ukraine now and in the future
Russian media are not tired of repeating information that the financial condition of Ukraine today leaves much to be desired. The country's economy is destroyed. It depends entirely on loans and material assistance from Europe and the USA. This information about the financial situation in Ukraine may be exaggerated, but the fact that the country is vitally needed outside support to avoid default is very similar to the truth. Let's try to predict the economic future of Ukraine. The forecast of analysts in this regard is disappointing. The European Union today is trying its best to provide all kinds of assistance to the national economy of Ukraine. This includes loans, and assistance in reducing dependence on Russian gas, and lowering customs duties on Ukrainian goods imported from the country. However, this assistance is not free. You have to pay for everything. And Ukraine in the near future will have to pay for all these “good deeds”: repay debts with interest and make significant transformations in social policy that infringe on the financial interests of ordinary citizens. As a result, according to experts, the country will be driven into an even deeper economic crisis. Over time, the EU will refuse to help Ukraine, since all measures to restore its national economy will be ineffective. The countries of Europe will not want to risk more their own material well-being for the sake of one state. What awaits Ukraine in the future in this case? Here is a country whose government today is trying to negate the influence of Moscow on the situation in the state, most likely, it will be forced to ask for help from Russia. In the meantime, President V. Putin claims that he does not refuse to financially support Ukraine. But the government of the Russian Federation can allocate loans to a neighbor only if a legitimate government is formed there.
Map of Ukraine after the split: forecast
More recently, few believed that Crimea would again become Russian. But today it is just that. And the countries of Europe and the United States should recognize this as a fait accompli. On May 11, 2014, referenda took place in the Lugansk and Donetsk regions, as a result of which the citizens of these regions declared their sovereignty. But do world politicians recognize this fact? And what will happen to the newly made Lugansk and Donetsk people's republics now? Will they join Ukraine as independent units or will they ask the Russian government to accept them? Political scientists believe that more recently, the collapse of the country could be prevented by federalization and the provision of greater rights to the regions. And today the situation is such that Crimea is lost for the state, and there is a high probability of alienation of the southeast, whose population is far from supporting the current Kiev government.
What awaits Ukraine in the future? What changes is it time to make a map of the country? According to astrologer
Pavel Globa, the economic crisis in this country will continue until 2020. After its completion, the
political map of the world will be transformed
. In 2014, the state will be divided into three parts. One of them will become part of Russia, as we now see in the example of the Crimea. The second part refuses to obey Kiev and forms its own administration, which we are currently observing in the Donbass. Over time, as the astrologer says, the state may also lose this territory. It is possible that Ukraine itself, after overcoming the global economic crisis as a state, will cease to exist. As, however, and the EU. This is the subjective view and forecast of Paul Globa.
What threatens Ukraine with the loss of eastern territories?
After the referendum on May 11, Donetsk and Lugansk declared their independence. In this regard, the question arises: what awaits Ukraine in the future if it completely loses these areas? Political scientists on this issue express a common opinion: the state will not be able to fully repay loans granted by the EU and the USA. The IMF expressly warns Kiev that if it loses its eastern regions, additional financing of the country's economy may be required. Indeed, in Kharkov, Lugansk and Donetsk regions, up to 30% of state industrial enterprises are concentrated. According to Russian analysts, the future of Ukraine lies in the federalization of the country. That is what can save her from a split.
Ukraine and its influential "patrons"
The European Union and the United States actively support the current government of Kiev, accusing Russia of destabilizing the situation in the country. For their part, they are introducing new sanctions against Moscow, thereby wanting to “scare” the Russian Federation and remove it from influence on Ukrainian politics. What are the leaders of Europe and the USA guided by? Is it really their only one goal: to save this state from bankruptcy and split? Let's try to analyze the situation and find out how this assistance will affect attempts to overcome the economic and political crisis in Ukraine?
Most Russian political scientists agree that the United States has only one goal in this “game”: to draw Ukraine into NATO and place the organization’s units at the borders with Russia. Many analysts conclude that this could very well happen soon. The country will join NATO, and Washington will have the opportunity to control Moscow’s actions by deploying military bases near the borders of the Russian Federation. As for the second important patron of the country, here everything is extremely clear. The EU and Ukraine are supposed to open their markets to each other. EU countries are looking for new outlets for their products. In this case, Ukraine with its 46 millionth population will contribute to the positive dynamics in the EU economy. But there is another common goal for the “guardians” of this state: weakening the Russian Federation, which has recently played an increasingly important role in the world arena. President V. Putin is confident that the future of Ukraine and Russia lies in close business cooperation between the two countries and support. Two kindred peoples must cope with the current contradictions in politics and the economic crisis in a united front. It is to this that he calls on Russians and Ukrainians. If we touch on the predictions of astrologers and psychics, then most of them do not see Ukraine as
part of the EU. Having analyzed the conditions for joining this organization and having compared the country's capabilities now, we can conclude that this merger is unlikely to ever happen.
Ways to Get Out of the Crisis
How to solve all the pressing problems of Ukraine now? The current government of the country convinces the population that the solution is to join the EU. Allegedly, you only need to tolerate, endure this difficult time of reducing social benefits and rising rents, and then everything will be fine. The European Union and the United States will give money so that the state’s economy comes to life and its growth begins. And ordinary citizens believe that soon they will live like Europeans, buying high-quality goods and getting a decent salary. But is it? Unrest in the country continues. The political map of Ukraine after the Maidan has already changed. The Russian Federation decided to protect Russian-speaking citizens. The result of this is already known - Ukraine lost the Crimea, in which more than 70% of Russians live. Now it may also lose the Donbass, which will negatively affect the country's economy. There can only be one way out, according to many Russian political scientists: the government should turn to face the people, stop the punitive operation in the east and take into account all the aspirations of its people. Russian Interior Minister Sergey Lavrov has repeatedly discussed with the US Secretary of State the ways out of the political and socio-economic crisis in Ukraine. The main one is the federalization of the country. This is exactly what many representatives of the east seek. The economy of Ukraine will undergo major changes in the future. Many analysts are sure of this today. But how it will develop further depends on what decisions the government of Kiev will take today.
The mood of today's leaders of Ukraine
And how do people who came to power in Kiev today see the country's further development? These are the forecasts they make for the future of Ukraine. Acting Minister of Foreign Affairs of the country Andrei Deshitsa says that Moscow constantly receives instructions on how to act in Kiev in a given situation. This situation, in his opinion, should be brought to naught. The EU and the USA will help Ukraine in this. It is in the European Union that the diplomat sees the future of his country. The Prime Minister of Ukraine Arseniy Yatsenyuk agrees with him. He says that the country should join the EU, and not at all in the Customs Union. Currently, Acting President of Ukraine Oleksandr Turchynov also opposes Russian interference in his country's affairs. Thus, we can conclude that the current leaders of Ukraine are inclined towards rapprochement with the European Union and against cooperation with the Russian Federation.
Relations between Ukraine and Russia in the near future
How will all the events taking place in the country reflect on the relationship of two kindred peoples? After all, most ordinary citizens of Ukraine support their government, which opposes rapprochement with Russia. Are the plans of the EU and the United States, the main point of which, by some standards of individual politicians, is to quarrel the two fraternal peoples, fulfilled? “The West is not interested in the fate of Ukraine after the Maidan,” says Viktor Medvedchuk, leader of the “Ukrainian Choice”. European leaders are doing everything they can to realize their goals. And the fact that Ukrainians and Russians will hate each other, they only benefit. But, as many political scientists are sure today, events in the country will not have a big impact on their relations. Moreover, soon it will be Russia that will contribute to Ukraine’s exit from the crisis. This will happen when the West refuses to further finance the “unreliable” state. It is then that Ukrainians will understand who their "true friend" is.
Political scientists about the future of Ukraine
It is interesting to listen to the opinion of experts about what the future brotherly country expects. The German political scientist determines the fate of Ukraine in the future: “The country will not agree to rapprochement with Moscow, since it is not beneficial for it. Ukraine sees more advantages in close cooperation with the European Union. And all the unrest after the presidential election will be suppressed. " One thing is clear - the state now faces a choice. And his further development will depend on him. And here is how political analyst Vladimir Beliaminov argues about what Ukraine expects in the future: “Federalization awaits the country. This is the only sure way out of the crisis. " Most experts are inclined to the same opinion. Political analyst Vadim Karasev says that regardless of the election results, the future president will have to "deal with the oligarchic federation in the country." In other words, the head of state will have to maneuver between the interests of Ukrainian business leaders.
Astrologers and psychics about the future of Ukraine
Now it is difficult to predict how the difficult situation in Ukraine will be resolved. Astrologers and psychics already make forecasts of the development of the state for the coming year. Most of them see the future of Ukraine after the Maidan in the political and economic rapprochement of the country with Russia, and not at all with the EU. But this will happen no earlier than mid-2015, says Igor Nikishin, director of the Ukrainian Astrological Institute, Pavel Globa. He predicts major changes in both the political and economic sectors over the next two years. Nazar Lebyak, a participant in the 9th season of the Battle of Psychics, claims that this year will be quite peaceful and calm for Ukrainians. But the numerologist Lyudmila Savina noted that 2014 and 2015 will be difficult for Ukraine, but decisive. At this time, the basic principles of the development of the state in the future will be laid.
To summarize
And now let’s summarize the forecast regarding what transformations the politics and economy of Ukraine will undergo after the Maidan. Both political scientists and psychics agree that all the worst for the country is already behind. They argue that the repetition of the Maidan will no longer be, and the whole of 2014 will be relatively calm for the state.
Most likely, Ukraine’s union with the European Union will never happen, despite the fact that its current government is determined to do so. Good advice from Russia on how to overcome the crisis in the country, Ukraine will appreciate after, not earlier than 2015-2020. Ahead of the state awaits a lot of hard work and transformation, but still Ukraine will survive this difficult time and cope with its problems. The EU is likely to cease to exist as an economic unit. The USA will lose the status of world leader. And Russia is waiting for a new stage of development. And it will take place not without the participation of Ukraine.