In the modern world in the light of recent events, topics are increasingly being raised that explain risk factors and, in general, all military threats to Russia's national security. To consider this problem more broadly, it is necessary to begin to understand the concept itself. Satisfaction of any national interests in the modern world is due to the mutual and mutual action of countries located on the world stage with the assistance of forces directly within the country. Such relations are on the verge of cooperation and confrontation - at the same time. Thus, we can consider such a state of affairs as an ordinary struggle for survival. Therefore, one way or another, but countries must take into account mutual interests. But in case of non-observance of the rules of the game or disregard of one state to another, this can be regarded as a threat to the security or integrity of the state, at least in economic terms.
What is a security risk?
Thus, military threats to Russia's national security can be defined as indirect or direct opportunities for risking freedom, constitutional rights, territorial value, the level and quality of life of citizens, development, security and defense of the state.
Such clashes motivated by the satisfaction of their national interests are the first step towards security-related problems. This is how the concept is interpreted, but proceeding from this, the following should be noted. In the absence of national interest, the threat as such does not exist, therefore, it can be classified as a danger that in itself can arise not only as a result of human activities, but also natural, man-made and natural disasters.
Threat classification
Before considering how strong the national security of the Russian Federation is and where danger should be expected, it is worth analyzing the types of threats.
A potential threat is always considered during the development and creation of any program. Despite the plan and its focus, such risks must be calculated. At the same time, immediate threats require the immediate use of special systems and “levers” for the crisis to take an adequate response. Most often, the focus of such problems is precisely the potential threats. Sources can be focused in nature, for a specific purpose and with respect to geographic focus. The latter, in turn, can be caused not only by external, but also by internal sources, which we will discuss in more detail with a specific example.
Internal threats to Russia's national security
At the moment, the main threats to military security can be divided into the following:
- Social tensions in society can be one of the most dangerous risks. This is the so-called time bomb, which can explode at any moment, as soon as the gap between the rich and the poor reaches a critical limit. From here follows the growth of tension in society, prostitution, alcoholism, drug addiction, the criminal component.
- The resource orientation, in this example, oil and gas, of course, allows you to have a high income for the entire state, but at the same time, it is worth noting that there can be no talk of any steady and stable economic growth.
- The widening gap in economic growth between different regions. In conditions when one region lives better than another, ties are being destroyed, and this clearly does not contribute to integration between the regions.
- The criminal situation of the whole society in Russia. Recently, cases of unearned income have become more frequent, and this can be observed both among the ordinary population and the top authorities, which affects the general instability and instability of the economy. In such a situation, it is practically impossible to remove the national economy from the current crisis.
- Problems associated with a decrease in scientific and technological potential, as the basis for economic growth. In fact, the national security of the Russian Federation is facing a rather serious threat due to the fact that recently Russia has not made a sufficient contribution to high-tech industries, therefore, there is simply no necessary scientific potential.
- The separatist views of individual territories that operate on the principle of a federal structure.
- Interethnic and interethnic tension, which has only recently intensified.
- The demographic crisis and the decline in the physical health of the population.
If we consider in the compartment all of the above security threats, it is clear that they are quite closely related. When one occurs, the next one, and so on in the chain, may become relevant. The elimination of all these problems is necessary in order to ensure the preservation of statehood. But besides internal threats, special attention should be paid to external ones.
External threats to Russia's national security
As for the problems from the outside, everything is much simpler here, and they seem more obvious, since basically the whole country suffers from their actions. Among these threats, the following can be noted:
- International terrorism.
- Reducing the role of the Russian Federation in world political and economic life, due to the targeted actions of both specific states and organizations (example of the OSCE and the UN).
- Territorial expansion in relation to China and Japan.
- The constant increase in NATO military presence.
- Placement of military forces near the borders of Russia, in particular the USA.
- The ubiquity of weapons of mass destruction.
- Deterioration of relations with the CIS countries, in particular Belarus and Ukraine.
- The crisis of the country's defense potential.
- The constant emergence of military armed confrontations near the borders and CIS countries, a vivid example of this is the crisis in Ukraine and the military coup of 2013-2015.
- The weakening position in the field of telecommunications, due to a number of countries that are investing huge amounts of money in the information war.
- The activation in the territory of the Russian Federation of foreign organizations, spies and the so-called fifth column.
Thus, internal and external threats necessarily require constant monitoring so that security is under control.
U.S. Threats (Cold War)
In fact, there have been constant attempts by the United States to manifest an unfriendly attitude, and many facts testify to this, and such maneuvers from this side will continue further. A political solution to this problem can hardly be found, since the interests of the Russian Federation and America lie in completely different planes and in understanding what is happening. But, as experts have already noted, the Cold War did not actually end, but only a short break was taken to strike Russia with renewed vigor.
Much can shed light on the latest chess castling in Eastern Europe and the interest of the United States in all of this. Despite the fact that the CIA has 4 bases outside of America, the plans are likely to build another one right at the borders with Russia, namely in Ukraine.
As can be seen from the latest situation in this country, the Ukrainian structures are incompetent, extravagant, deceitful and, in addition, there are frank elements of disrespect for the Russian president and the state as a whole. If the CIA base is opened, then America will be able to conduct a conversation with the Russian Federation, if not in high, then in confident tones. Thus, an experienced, highly streamlined structure will appear at the borders, which will establish its order in more than 40 countries.
Conflict in Ukraine as a direct threat
Touching upon the topic of “enemy at the gates”, it is certainly worth noting that military threats to Russia's national security have become critical after the conflict in Ukraine, and this is noted by competent services around the world.
So, suppose that the plans of the government of the most “democratic” country in the world (according to its own version) really include the construction of bases in Ukraine. Why is this needed and what will it give in fact? In fact, the answer lies not only in the geopolitical control of this region. Naturally, in this country, the first thing to be created is a special center for the training of radicals and terrorists, so that subsequently they will be transferred to Russia to cause unrest. In this case, we are talking about those young people who have been ideologically processed since the beginning of the 90s. Now, almost a large half of the friendly, fraternal and once united country within the USSR considers Russia to be the root of all misfortunes and the main enemy, therefore, it will be happy to learn to kill the enemy at American training grounds.
Radicals and terrorist organizations
The threat of terrorism and radicalism can be noted as no less problem. The primary task of such organizations is to exacerbate the degree of tension, bring chaos, unrest and fear in society, the need to rock the situation and strain the situation.
As you know, there is a lot of direct evidence that the United States creates terrorists on an industrial scale, but for some reason the world community is constantly turning a blind eye to this (for unknown reasons). In Afghanistan, it was al-Qaeda, and its actions were directly directed against the USSR. After the collapse, the need for it fell away, and after that, CIA double agent Osama Bin Laden was killed as an extra and already unnecessary witness, but in the media he was described as terrorist No. 1.
What do we see in the modern world? Libya, Syria, Ukraine, and then who? And Russia will be next, and will help America in this ISIS. Thus, it is safe to say that the threat of terrorism mainly comes from only one “democratic” state, which, under the guise of an ardent fighter against these structures, itself creates a danger.
NATO
Despite the fact that NATO bases have invaded the whole world, direct military operations with the Russian Federation are practically excluded. Therefore, from this block, military threats to Russia's national security are close to zero. Many facts can speak of this, and, of course, the Russian "nuclear fist" plays an important role. Nobody wants to doom the whole planet to death, and the opening of the Southern and Eastern Front can just lead to this. Of course, the possibility of the active participation of this bloc is not ruled out if the Russian Federation can still withstand the economic blockade and sanctions, but again it will not be open, but underground activity in the training of militants, terrorists and their transfer to the territory. But one way or another, such external military threats as the NATO bloc can be safely regarded as potential
.
Economic threat (sanctions)
In recent events, I want to understand why such a large, rich and powerful country suffers from deliberate economic impact? And the problem is the following, as they say, "trouble came, from where they did not wait." Modern Russia is a raw material appendage of the economy, but not of its own; we are talking about export. The impact of the sanctions was so planned and tangible that all world levers were involved. This is an artificial reduction in oil prices by the Arab states, and the restrictions imposed by Europe. The modern economy of the Russian Federation to a greater extent ignores the needs of a citizen, as it did 20 years ago. Modern business alone does not produce enough, and often simply sells its raw materials or, even worse, imported goods. Therefore, emphasis was placed on the most vulnerable and vital industries. This should be regarded as an impetus for reprofiling to the eastern market, but isn’t it too late, could this move be foreseen?
Modern threats
Of course, terrorism is a threat to Russia's national security No. 1, but if you look in the near future, a few more, no less important, can be added to this problem. Starting in 2015, the Russian Federation may be at the very center of the battle "to death" for natural wealth. The world began to rebuild from multipolarity to polycentrism, the growth of instability, the fierce competition between the new centers of power began. The modern world is entering one of the most difficult demographic, environmental, and commodity periods. Russia in this situation is a very important player, due to its geopolitical position. And no military threat is terrible only when they reckon with you as an equal, and in the case of Russia, when they are afraid. Therefore, no matter how many attempts to weaken its geopolitical and geographical positions have been carried out, all of them will be nullified. But due to the fact that growth in raw fuel is constantly growing, and gas and oil will remain the main sources of energy and have a projected share of 84% until 2030, Russia's time is still ahead. The only danger is that the Russian Federation borders on 16 states, which every now and then try to revise their borders.
Forecast for the future
Of course, Kremlin relations with Brussels and Washington will never be the same again. And in response to all the threats of NATO, the US NMD systems, the constant "color" revolutions in a number of post-Soviet countries and near the borders of Russia, the government updated the doctrine, which says about ensuring the national security of the state. According to this document, in response to action, opposition will immediately follow, so that the whole country can sleep peacefully and not worry about its future.