Today, the problem of a possible repetition of the default situation in Russia is a source of concern not only for many investors, but also for ordinary citizens of the country. The events of 1998 were a great shock for everyone - they significantly devalued the savings of citizens and reduced investor confidence in the economy.
A possible default in Russia is now being discussed both at the expert level and in the media. Not so long ago, the prerequisites for the emergence of economic problems reappeared in the Russian Federation. This was explained by a significant increase in the dollar, high inflation, and almost imperceptible economic growth. The pension issue became a big problem - an aging population leads to the fact that soon the pension system will not be able to cope with the growing burden.
However, in the current situation, what awaits Russia can be judged on the basis of world oil prices and a number of other minerals. It is raw materials that bring the country the main income, and the stably high prices in the market create confidence that the situation will not get out of control. Moreover, large budget revenues provide the basis for the creation of a stabilization fund that can be used to solve problems in the economy. Despite all the difficulties, there are no reasons indicating a possible default in Russia. 2012 was associated with such pessimistic expectations, but in the end they did not materialize. Most likely, serious problems will not appear this year either.
The main reason why a default may occur in Russia can be called the unstable financial situation in Europe. Since the Russian Federation acts as a full-fledged participant in the world market, negative trends in the economy of many European countries have a negative impact on it.
Another most likely reason that could cause default in Russia is difficulties in the American economy. A default can occur even in the USA, which is caused by a huge external debt, especially since it continues to grow. The collapse of the American economy will inevitably hit the world. Even the allegations that the Russian economy is practically independent of the US economy cannot serve as a justification. Europe is very dependent, and Russia has the closest economic relations with Europe. The crisis in the United States will result in a drop in oil prices, and this is the main reason that could provoke a default in Russia.
Recently, Russia has become a member of the WTO, and this indicates the stability of the country's economic course. In such a situation, only corporate default of some large companies is possible - it is due to the instability of the securities market and significant amounts of debt on loans. Nevertheless, even such a situation will lead to corporate default only under the condition of global economic problems in the country. The default of 1998 was primarily a consequence of Russia's internal problems, but a new default, if it takes place, will be caused to a greater extent by external adverse conditions.